On June 13th, we have already posted our estimation about the upcoming Patches. Back then, we also took a look towards Patch 10.2, but primarily for the upcoming Patches 10.1.5 and 10.1.7.
As per usual, we are using past-data to speculate an upcoming release of Patch 10.1.5 with the following information:
With all of the presented information in mind, we try again our speculation on upcoming releases, which have proven almost accurate in the past. Almost in that context means that we missed the Release Date of Patch 10.1 by almost two weeks, which released earlier then expected. This is because of the grace period granted after each major Content Update before the Season launches. Obviously, there are no complains about Blizzard releasing content earlier then expected, which is in favor of many players that experience a content drought much quicker then others.
We would current speculate the Release Date Patch 10.2 on September 27th, 2023 with Season 3 starting on October 4th. This would be around 8 Weeks after the speculated release of Patch 10.1.7 on August 17th, 2023. This once again would be just 6 Weeks after the Release of Patch 10.1.5 on July 5th, 2023.
Bear mind that the PTR for Patch 10.1 has launched before the release of Patch 10.1.7. This caused the official Patch releases to be just 6 Weeks apart, while a regular PTR cycle of 8 Weeks was achieved.
All of this is just our personal speculation, and is not based on any information given by Blizzard. It’s for your personal entertainment only, and should always be looked at with a certain amount of doubt.
As during the Patch 10.0.7 Public Test Realms, the launch of the Test Servers for Season 2 have opened even before the Release of Patch 10.0.7. As in our previous Speculation stated:
In the past, even in Shadowlands, a regular Test Phase for any upcoming Patch was between 6-8 Weeks. Especially large Content Updates took up to 8 Weeks, while smaller Patches like x.5 and x.7 took only 6 Weeks after their opening.
With this data in mind, we can already speculate that Patch 10.1.5 is once again in the regular 6-8 Week Testing period. The PTR for Patch 10.1.5 has started on May 17th, 2023. This would put the expected time of release between June 28th to July 12th. Keep in mind that Patch 10.1.5 has already been announced on May 12th which is a Thursday.
With all other information given, this would lead to a Release of the Dragonflight Patch 10.2, and therefore Season 3 Test Servers to be on August 24th, 2023. This allows players to test out the upcoming Season 3 for atleast 8 Weeks before the estimated release date.
As during the previous Patch 10.1 Public Test Realms, the new Turbulent Timeways Event was upheld, allowing players to complete each of the 6 Timewalking Events every single week, until the Release Date of Patch 10.1.
For Patch 10.1.7, a new Turbulent Timewalking Event is going to be published, allowing Players again to compete for amazing rewards, like the Shady Shalewing Mount.
If we count 6 Weeks from the Turbulent Timewalking Event, we can estimate that Patch 10.2 is going to be released on October 18th, 2023. This would lead to a 22-Week rotation of Mythic Keystone Dungeons, two weeks later then the previous Season.